The Golden Cross
Overview
The golden cross is perhaps one of the most initial trading algorithms out there. It takes items such as moving averages into play and makes a quick decision on when to buy and when to sell.
Typically speaking, it utilizes the 50-Day SMA
and the 200-Day SMA
to determine whether or not to buy or sell a stock.
Want to use a jupyter notebook? Check it out here
The Buy/Sell Condition
We choose to buy a stock when the 50-day SMA crosses the 200-day SMA in an upward direction (typically signifying change in sentiment or stock movement) and sell when the 50-day recrosses the 200-day SMA in a downwards direction.
Implementing in Blankly
Boilerplate Code
We will be implementing the golden cross using Blankly.Strategy
that allows for a quick and easy way of building out our golden cross. We'll also be utilizing blankly.indicators
to quickly implement moving average calculations.
Create Strategy
from blankly import Strategy, StrategyState, Interface
from blankly import Alpaca
from blankly.utils import trunc
from blankly.indicators import sma
def init(symbol, state: StrategyState):
# run on a new price event to initialize variables
pass
def price_event(price, symbol, state: StrategyState):
# we'll come back to this soon
pass
alpaca = Alpaca()
s = Strategy(alpaca)
s.add_price_event(price_event, 'MSFT', resolution='1d', init=init)
s.start()
Initializing Variables and History
In order to speed things up, we should make one call to get the historical data that we need and append data as new prices come in. We can actually easily do this on initialization and make sure the proper data is passed in to the proper price events:
def init(symbol, state: StrategyState):
interface: Interface = state.interface
resolution: float = state.resolution
variables = state.variables
# initialize the historical data
variables['history'] = interface.history(symbol, 800,
resolution, return_as='list')['close']
variables['has_bought'] = False
Implementing the Price Event
Now that we have the code set up, let's take a deep dive into how to implement this price event.
First, as we recall, we want to buy an entity when the 50-day SMA crosses the 200-day SMA in an upward direction, we can tell this by looking at the slope of the SMA
Traditionally, calculating an SMA would typically involve utilizing numpy
or pandas
. Blankly has done all the hard lifting for you AND returns the SMA as an array so that we can easily calculate the slope between any two points (we'll take a difference of 5)
def price_event(price, symbol, state: StrategyState):
interface: Interface = state.interface
variables = state.variables
variables['history'].append(price)
sma200 = sma(variables['history'], period=200)
# match up dimensions
sma50 = sma(variables['history'], period=50)[-len(sma200):]
diff = sma50 - sma200
slope_sma50 = (sma50[-1] - sma50[-5]) / 5 # get the slope of the last 5 SMA50 Data Points
prev_diff = diff[-2]
curr_diff = diff[-1]
is_cross_up = slope_sma50 > 0 and curr_diff >= 0 and prev_diff < 0
is_cross_down = slope_sma50 < 0 and curr_diff <= 0 and prev_diff > 0
# comparing prev diff with current diff will show a cross
if is_cross_up and not variables['has_bought']:
interface.market_order(symbol, 'buy', int(interface.cash/price))
variables['has_bought'] = True
elif is_cross_down and variables['has_bought']:
# use strategy.base_asset if on CoinbasePro or Binance
# truncate here to fix any floating point errors
interface.market_order(symbol, 'sell', int(interface.account[symbol].available))
variables['has_bought'] = False
Adding it All Together
Now that we've gotten everything, let's bring it all together
from blankly import Alpaca, Interface, Strategy, StrategyState
from blankly.indicators import sma
def init(symbol, state: StrategyState):
interface: Interface = state.interface
resolution: float = state.resolution
variables = state.variables
# initialize the historical data
variables["history"] = interface.history(symbol, 800, resolution, return_as='deque')["close"]
variables["has_bought"] = False
def price_event(price, symbol, state: StrategyState):
interface: Interface = state.interface
# allow the resolution to be any resolution: 15m, 30m, 1d, etc.
resolution: float = state.resolution
variables = state.variables
variables["history"].append(price)
sma200 = sma(variables["history"], period=20)
sma50 = sma(variables["history"], period=10)[-len(sma200):]
diff = sma50 - sma200
slope_sma50 = (
sma50[-1] - sma50[-5]
) / 5 # get the slope of the last 5 SMA50 Data Points
prev_diff = diff[-2]
curr_diff = diff[-1]
is_cross_up = slope_sma50 > 0 and curr_diff >= 0 and prev_diff < 0
is_cross_down = slope_sma50 < 0 and curr_diff <= 0 and prev_diff > 0
# comparing prev diff with current diff will show a cross
if is_cross_up and not variables["has_bought"]:
interface.market_order(symbol, 'buy', int(interface.cash / price))
variables["has_bought"] = True
elif is_cross_down and variables["has_bought"]:
interface.market_order(
symbol, 'sell', int(interface.account[symbol].available)
)
variables["has_bought"] = False
if __name__ == "__main__":
alpaca = Alpaca()
s = Strategy(alpaca)
s.add_price_event(price_event, "MSFT", resolution="1d", init=init)
s.backtest(initial_values={"USD": 10000}, to="2y")